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Discussion in 'Community Center' started by Randy Petersen, Feb 27, 2012.
Are you related to a guy named Ponzi?
Congrats you lucky cow. Now you will have to see If there a app for milking or cheese making!
Sweet deal. If anyone wins the new iPad, I'll take the old one off your hands
Hey I've already given you one freebie this year!
We're still waiting to see who won this past Tuesday.
And I enjoyed it very much , thank you Pat!
Congratulations to jmjgp12! And Thanks to Randy and Milepoint!
Congrats to the new iPad winners!
If I am not mistaken, the week 5 drawing took place on Wednesday March 21st, right? Every Wednesday from Feb 22:
Week 1: Feb 22
Week 2: Feb 29
Week 3: March 7
Week 4: March 14
Week 5: March 21
Week 6: March 28
Week 6.5: March 31
If so, can someone please explain to me how a new member who signed up on the past Saturday/Sunday (i.e. March 24/25, depending on your viewing time zone) won our 5th week iPad?
I know Randy has been falling behind posting the lucky newer winners for the last two weeks but how could it even be possible for a past drawing to be award to a "future" member?
I don't want to sound "unappreciative" nor complaining but statistically speaking, this 6.5-weekly iPad drawings has been very skewed toward MP new members with less than one full month membership (from the time of the actual drawing). Even though MP might have attracted quite a few new signup members since the voting started. However, from a statistical stand point and for a statistically random drawing, this should be highly unlikely, if not impossible, for a truly random drawing to have such a skewed "distribution" toward newer memberships.
ETA: I am not a statistician, but I am academically trained to conduct research using statistics.
ETA2: I don't have to be one of the winners. But if I win, I would very much like to win my iPad fair and square, according to the game rules.
Well "random" being what it is, it's entirely possible that the deviation is normal... but it does seem rather "unusual" that out of the entire user population, 4 out of 5 winners have registered this year (I don't know when our bovine friend unavaca joined because of the private profile).
My mistake. I was traveling Tues-Sun and didn't have the access to pick on Wed so picked on Sun and did not look closely at the dates other than assume the results from random.org were the choice. Obviously i should have spent a little more time in the hotel lobby looking at results from Tuesday at midnight. (Tip: The Doubletree Hotel/Scottsdale doesn't have wi-fi except in lobby and one of the pools so if you travel with just an iPad .... you won't be doing much work in your room). So, I'll re-pick for the Wed. drawing. Again sorry, such is the travails for those that travel.
Surely you mean "those that travel without their own internet"
MiFi is your friend.
Our lucky unavaca is the only exception so far, who have been with MP for more than a full year, so is the rest of us unlucky "oldtimers" who's been on MP since Feb 2011.
Glad to be doing my part to represent the 2011-vintage members. Either that, or I'm going to be eliminated as a statistical outlier...
I would have no objection at all if I got eliminated as a outlier with a new iPad at hand.
I am truly happy for you, unavaca, so is my TwinPat. She can't stop speaking highly of you. Your winning gives us with "senior MP status" a (very) slim hope of winning the remaining iPads.
As a new member that means my odds are looking pretty good
A point of reference as i always try to address comments. It seemed somewhat familiar so i just went and looked at last years results and it was almost the opposite streak of winners. Last year it was almost all veterans with newbies for whatever reason of random did not win many. Of the 31 winners last year, only 9 were from the month of March with the veteran Feb. members winning all but 29% of the iPads and it wasn't even close if you count that 3 of the other newbie winners were March 1 or 3 which would have brought down the winning percentage to only 19% from newbies. As in Las Vegas, we see streaks of randomness that just happens. i like random.org because it makes these things really easy for us. Again, sorry for the tardiness of the last winner and since i'm not traveling for the next 10 days, will be right on this.
Thanks for holding up the banner!
Congrats to kw335! Another veteran!
Isn't it odd?
Maybe I should have spoken up much earlier in this thread so all us veterans would have had a better chance to beat the odds!
Congrats to all the winners, old and new.
Congrats to cvarming, another MP veteran!
I don't think I've ever hated so many people I don't know.
Congratulations to all the winners! What will you all be doing with your iPads?
And for the rest of us- there's still one more chance left.